Probability engine

Source strength guide

How we communicate the authority behind each source. Source strength remains separate from the impact of the claim itself.

✓ Official

Official

Highest confidence evidence. Direct confirmation from official channels.

Includes

Glastonbury official announcements
Artist official websites and social channels
Management, label, or promoter confirmation

Direct Statement

Very strong evidence, but not always a final confirmation.

Includes

Artist interviews
BBC interviews with artists or organisers
Direct representative comments

Trusted Media

Professional journalism and industry reporting.

Includes

BBC
The Guardian
NME
Clash
DIY
The Line of Best Fit
Pitchfork
Rolling Stone UK
Music Week

Insider & Tour Intelligence

Strong signals built from established insider intelligence and tour analysis.

Includes

Established insider intelligence
Booking and production signals
Tour date gaps
Tour clashes and routing analysis

Emerging & Anonymous Signal

Emerging signals can include regional reporting, specialist trackers and established music communities. These sources can provide valuable early intelligence, but less transparent sourcing means they may require independent corroboration.

Tracker confidence labels are considered, but original confirmation, direct quotes and concrete tour information carry more weight than copied articles, anonymous chatter or opaque tracker entries.

Includes

Regional & specialist reporting
Community research

View examples

Regional & specialist reporting

Daily MirrorSomersetLiveBristol LiveManchester Evening NewsLiverpool EchoBirmingham LiveWalesOnlineIrish MirrorDublin LiveClassic PopOther validated regional entertainment outletsSpecialist festival trackers

Community research

Established music communitiesIndependent community researchCredible fan-led investigationsEstablished festival community accounts

General Speculation

Lowest confidence evidence and should be treated with caution.

Includes

Unverified online speculation
Social media speculation
General public chatter